After a four-year hiatus, the notorious climate pattern El Niño is back, heralding a probable acceleration in Global warming and posing an increased risk of extreme weather events.

Source: BBC News/Youtube

El Niño, Spanish for ‘the Christ child’, often peaking around the end of the year, is a climate pattern characterized by unusually warm sea surface temperatures in the equatorial Pacific Ocean. The impact of this climate phenomenon can be dramatic, influencing weather patterns globally. The 2016 El Niño was particularly intense, resulting in devastating heat, rainfall, coral bleaching, rainforest losses, and a rise in diseases such as cholera and dengue.

No two El Niño episodes are identical. While it’s associated with wet weather in Southern California and drought in Southeast Asia, the exact manifestations vary. Adding another layer of complexity, scientists are unsure how the ongoing backdrop of human-caused Global warming will influence this El Niño’s behavior.

The U.S. National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) predicts an 84% chance of at least a moderate-strength El Niño and a 56% chance of a strong El Niño. Given our planet’s continuous warming, this El Niño may edge global temperatures closer to a critical benchmark – an average 1.5 degrees Celsius (2.7 Fahrenheit) rise above pre-industrial times.

Interestingly, while El Niño typically lessens Atlantic hurricane activity, this year might be different. Unusually warm ocean temperatures could counteract this effect, indicating we might be in for an intense hurricane season.

Understanding the relationship between Global warming and El Niño is a scientific challenge, as the evidence isn’t conclusive yet. However, there is a hypothesis that climate change could be increasing the likelihood of blockbuster El Niño events.

As we brace ourselves for what this year’s El Niño could bring, it’s more important than ever to commit to sustainable practices and climate-resilient strategies. It’s a perfect time to reassess our personal carbon footprints and consider what we can do to mitigate climate change’s effects. Let’s not be spectators – join the green revolution today and contribute to a healthier planet for future generations!

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